October 14, 2004

Guns and God

from - Buck

John Kerry made one HUGE mistake tonight when he insisted that he would have FOUGHT to see the assault weapons ban extended. There was not one politician in all of Washington that would touch that issue with a ten foot pole and Kerry calmly bent over and picked it up. His passion about the ban left the Kerry team looking like gun-banning liberals and made the Bush team look like gun rights champions. He lost precious votes that he cannot afford to lose on a meaningless issue. Far, far more people will vote against him because of that position than will vote for him because of it. There are many that are single issue voters with gun rights being the single issue. There are few out there that will vote against you because you let a law like the assault weapons ban lapse. It was a terrible misjudgement but you could tell that he truly believes that the assault weapons ban was important. Since he supposedly knows a little bit about guns he should have known that the ban was pure window dressing. In my opinion he stepped into it up to his chin when he made that mistake.

George Bush won the debate tonight because he connected with people. His answer to the question about his faith surely set the evangelicals on fire. Rove had lamented that there were over four million of them that did not vote in the last election. Well, you might as well start playing "Just As I Am" down at the polling places because they are coming now.

The bottom line is that Kerry alienated many voters while Bush energized many others. It is a mistake to judge a debate on substance. Politics is about feeling and emotion not facts and figures.

Bush nailed it tonight.

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Posted by Buck at October 14, 2004 12:23 AM
Comments

I don't think Kerry can win at this point and he is in full fledge rile the base mode.

univar.jpg Posted by SayUncle on October 14, 2004 08:33 AM
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Err, can't win even.

univar.jpg Posted by SayUncle on October 14, 2004 08:33 AM
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I think Bush will win the election with 284 electoral votes. Neither guy will get 50% of the popular vote. I am still baffled by some of the polling data because a serious poll is usually pretty accurate. I don't know why I am surprised that very few agree with me. I always seem to be on the short end of that stick.

On the issue of the "assault weapons ban" (damn, it is embarrassing to call it that) Bush had the nerve to say "if you want it extended all you have to do is put it on my desk and I will extend it." He knew that it would never get to his desk so he risked nothing at all and wound up winning the pot. You can argue that gun owners were already in the Bush back pocket and I would agree with you. The problem is that by trying to rile his base Kerry stuck his stick in the wrong bee's nest and he will get stung. He should have let the sleeping dog sleep.

univar.jpg Posted by Buck on October 14, 2004 11:29 AM
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Buck, I think you got that exactly right. Kerry also made the mistake of inferring that a ban on assault weapons would keep law enforcement officers from walking into a raid where the bad guy was wielding an assault weapon. Since when have criminals handed over any type of weapon?

univar.jpg Posted by Lilspring on October 15, 2004 09:57 PM
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